David Machin, Yin Bun Cheung, Mahesh Parmar

Survival Analysis: A Practical Approach, 2nd Edition

ISBN: 0-470-87040-0
Hardcover
278 pages
June 2006

Well received in its first edition, Survival Analysis: A Practical Approach is completely revised to provide an accessible and practical guide to survival analysis techniques in diverse environments.
Illustrated with many authentic examples, the book introduces basic statistical concepts and methods to construct survival curves, later developing them to encompass more specialised and complex models.

During the years since the first edition there have been several new topics that have come to the fore and many new applications. Parallel developments in computer software programmes, used to implement these methodologies, are relied upon throughout the text to bring it up to date.

Table of contents

Preface to the First Edition.
Preface to the Second Edition.
Chapter 1: Introduction and Review of Statistical Concepts.
Chapter 2: Survival Curves.
Chapter 3: Comparison of Survival Curves.
Chapter 4: Parametric Modelling.
Chapter 5: Coxfs Proportional Hazards Model.
Chapter 6: Selecting Variables within a Cox Model.
Chapter 7: Extensions of the Cox Model.
Chapter 8: Prognostic Indices.
Chapter 9: Sample Sizes.
Chapter 10: Further Topics.
References.
Statistical Tables.
Index.

Peter Congdon

Bayesian Statistical Modelling, 2nd Edition

ISBN: 0-470-01875-5
Hardcover
552 pages
January 2007

Description

The goal of this book is to provide an accessible approach to Bayesian computing and data analysis, with an emphasis on the interpretation of real data sets. Following in the tradition of the successful first edition, this book aims to make a wide range of statistical modeling applications accessible using tested code that can be readily adapted to the readerfs own applications. The second edition has been thoroughly reworked and updated to take account of advances in the field. A new set of worked examples is included. The coverage of statistical modeling using WinBUGS continues in the new edition although some examples using R and MLWIN are also introduced to broaden appeal and for completeness of coverage.

Table of Contents

Preface.
Chapter 1. Introduction, the Bayesian Method, its Benefits and Implementation.
Chapter 2. Bayesian Model Choice and Comparison.
Chapter 3. The Major Densities and their Application.
Chapter 4. The Normal Linear Model and General Linear Models.
Chapter 5 - Hierarchical Priors & Overdispersed Regression.
Chapter 6. Discrete Mixtures.
Chapter 7. Multinomial & Ordinal Response Models.
Chapter 8. Time Series Models.
Chapter 9. Models for Spatial Data.
Chapter 10. Nonlinear & Nonparametric regression.
Chapter 11. Multilevel & Panel Data.
Chapter 12 Multivariate Data and SEMs
Chapter 13. Survival & Event History Models.
Chapter 14. Missing Data Models.
Chapter 15. Measurement Errors and Simultaneous Eqns.
Appendix. WINBUGS guide.
Index.

J. Douglas Faires

First Steps for Math Olympians Using the American Mathematics Competitions

Within each chapter, three well-chosen examples illustrate a variety of problem-solving strategies and applications of concepts. The examples are followed by ten exercises, graduated in difficulty so that nearly every student reader will be able to solve at least one problem easily and nearly every reader will struggle with at least one. The thoughtful choice of examples and exercises is one of the book?s strengths, providing a wealth of opportunity for students to become experienced problem solvers within a remarkably small number of pages. ?David Wells, Penn State University

Professor Faires has prepared an impressive problem solving primer. The book presents a wide variety of problems and problem solving strategies, and illustrates how the American Mathematics Competitions can be used to develop many important mathematical techniques. ?Richard Gibbs, Fort Lewis College
A major aspect of mathematical training and its benefit to society is the ability to use logic to solve problems. The American Mathematics Competitions (AMC) have been given for more than fifty years to millions of high school students. This book considers the basic ideas behind the solutions to the majority of these problems, and presents examples and exercises from past exams to illustrate the concepts. Anyone taking the AMC exams or helping students prepare for them will find many useful ideas here. But people generally interested in logical problem solving should also find the problems and their solutions interesting.

This book will promote interest in mathematics by providing students with the tools to attack problems that occur on mathematical problem-solving exams, and specifically to level the playing field for those who do not have access to the enrichment programs that are common at the top academic high schools. The book can be used either for self-study or to give people who want to help students prepare for mathematics exams easy access to topic-oriented material and samples of problems based on that material. This is useful for teachers who want to hold special sessions for students, but it is equally valuable for parents who have children with mathematical interest and ability.

As students? problem solving abilities improve, they will be able to comprehend more difficult concepts requiring greater mathematical ingenuity. They will be taking their first steps towards becoming math Olympians!

ISBN:10: 0-88385-824-X
13: 978-0-88385-824-0
320 pp., Hardbound, 2006

Martin Gardner

aha! A Two-volume collection
aha! insight and aha! Gotcha

aha! Gotcha and aha! Insight are here combined as a single volume. The aha! books, as they are referred to by fans of the author Martin Gardner, contain 144 wonderful puzzles from the reigning king of recreational mathematics. In this combined volume, you will find puzzles ranging over geometry, logic, probability, statistics, number,time, combinatorics, and word play. Gardner calls these puzzles aha! problems. He explains that aha! problems "seem difficult, and indeed are difficult if you go about trying to solve them in traditional ways. But if you can free your mind from standard problem solving techniques, you may be receptive to an aha! reaction that leads immediately to a solution. Don't be discouraged if, at first, you have difficulty with these problems. Try your best to solve each one before you read the answer. After a while you will begin to catch the spirit of offbeat , nonlinear thinking, and you may be surprised to find your aha! ability improving."

Studies show that persons who possess a high aha! ability are all intelligent to a moderate level, but beyond that level there seems to be no correlation between high intelligence and aha! thinking. So dig into some of the puzzles in this book, and prepare yourself for an aha! experience.

ISBN: 10: 0-88385-551-8
ISBN 13: 9780-88385-551-5
368 pp., Hardbound, 2006

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Edward Packel

The Mathematics of Games and Gambling
Second Edition

The whole book is written with great urbanity and clarity. It is hard to see how it could be done better or more readably. The main virtue lies in the close and clever interweaving of theory and example. ?Mathematical Gazette

This is an informal, well-written, and witty exposition of the usefulness of mathematics and its analytical processes. The book covers gambling and betting schemes in math in greater detail than do most textbooks on introductory probability. ? The Mathematics Teacher

This book introduces and develops some of the important and beautiful elementary mathematics needed for rational analysis of various gambling and game activities. Most of the standard casino games (roulette, craps, blackjack, keno), some social games (backgammon, poker, bridge) and various other activities (state lotteries, horse racing, etc.) are treated in ways that bring out their mathematical aspects. The mathematics developed ranges from the predictable concepts of probability, expectation, and binomial coefficients to some less well-known ideas of elementary game theory. The Second Edition includes new material on:

Sports betting and the mathematics behind it
Game theory applied to bluffing in poker and related to the "Texas Holdem phenomenon"
The Nash equilibrium concept and its emergence in the popular culture
Internet links to games and to Java applets for practice and classroom use. The only formal mathematics background the reader needs is some facility with high school algebra. Game-related exercises are included at the end of most chapters for readers interested in working with and expanding ideas treated in the text. Solutions to some of the exercises appear at the end of the book.

ISBN 10: 0-88385-646-8
ISBN 13: 978-0-88385-646-8
192 pp., Hardbound, 2006

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